Discovery Loop

(discoveryloop.com)

115 points | by xtreak29 1 hour ago

21 comments

  • cjbarber 30 minutes ago
    From Jeff's twitter post:

    > Our general approach is to automate the experimental loop. We think this approach is broadly applicable across many different fields of science and engineering. We’ll initially focus on ML research and engineering, but believe the approach can help with important subproblems in nearly every one of the fourteen <at>NAE Grand Challenge problems. We think doing this well requires strong expertise in machine learning as well as large-scale systems.

    See also: https://www.nae.edu/20782/grand-challenges-project

    Those 14 are:

    NAE Grand Challenges for Engineering

    1. Make Solar Energy Economical

    2. Provide Energy from Fusion

    3. Develop Carbon Sequestration Methods

    4. Manage the Nitrogen Cycle

    5. Provide Access to Clean Water

    6. Restore and Improve Urban Infrastructure

    7. Advance Health Informatics

    8. Engineer Better Medicines

    9. Reverse Engineer the Brain

    10. Prevent Nuclear Terror

    11. Secure Cyberspace

    12. Enhance Virtual Reality

    13. Advance Personalized Learning

    14. Engineer the Tools of Scientific Discovery

    • tcp_handshaker 12 minutes ago
      Acquisition back by Google in 3 years, with nothing to show for it. VCs will make a ton.
      • dude250711 3 minutes ago
        For all we know, they could have been successfully working on "10. Prevent Nuclear Terror" for the last 80+ years.
      • tgma 9 minutes ago
        and... the VC is Google.

        Gotta compensate them somehow.

      • DataDaoDe 9 minutes ago
        My thoughts exactly
  • claiir 8 minutes ago
    The site itself is really leaning into the “made with Fable” aesthetic
    • pelagicAustral 2 minutes ago
      Why are people so sour about this?? I can read the site easily, its clear, performs well on mobile, what else do you want? Why is so offensive to people that models trained on tailwind or whatever?
    • swalsh 0 minutes ago
      let me rephrase that:

      "The site itself demonstrates the team is spending their money in the places that matter, and using quick solutions for the stuff they need but isn't mission critical"

  • arjie 22 minutes ago
    This is very cool. It might be a new scientific revolution to have computer-driven discovery. So often we find things that are "this could have been done 20 years ago" and with an indefatigable searcher perhaps we'll close all those things. Though it does remind me of that Ted Chiang (I think) story where humans and superhumans coexist and all the science of the former is meta-studies of the work of the latter.
    • PaulDavisThe1st 12 minutes ago
      > It might be a new scientific revolution to have computer-driven discovery.

      And ... it might not.

      • arjie 11 minutes ago
        True, nothing might be anything. But I'm an optimist :)
  • Taikhoom2010 17 minutes ago
    The problem is all these new labs don't have any competitive advanatge amongst each other, talent can only take one so far, though Jeff is a legend no doubt.

    Models are commodities the applications eg. BaseTen, OpenRouter should capture the value.

    https://taikhooms.substack.com/p/why-openrouter-can-be-the-n...

    • compiler-guy 10 minutes ago
      The company is developing an application, or a class of applications. Not a new model.
    • malux85 6 minutes ago
      Model routers - send all of your data through a third party who totally swears not to peek at it.

      If youre doing anything worthwhile (advanced research, classified work, high value industrial research, health data, or anything high value) then sending your data through a third party like that is insane.

  • stephantul 31 minutes ago
    I’ve always felt that the idea that science is bottlenecked and therefore needs more automation only works for a very narrow definition of what science is, and entails a very specific view on what it should be.
    • hobofan 23 minutes ago
      > only works for a very narrow definition of what science is

      And so does academia. It's just that instead of AI and robotics, PhD students are thrown onto problems that are in large parts slightly tweaked reconfigurations of similar experiments.

      Especially in chemistry, biochemistry, material sciences there is a large space of discoveries that are barely "novel" in an intellectually stimulating way, but still highly valuable that can be explored orders of magnitudes faster than is currently the case.

      • stephantul 2 minutes ago
        That is true, I’ve seen people do biochemistry and geology work, and it did look very mind-numbing.

        Then again, gassing rats and taking biopsies is not something you can do with AI.

      • porridgeraisin 5 minutes ago
        Yep. A communications professor where I did my MS says a 200usd/mo claude sub (which ant gives for free) does as much work as 5 grad students. It's mostly like you said, trying out new ideas rapidly.
    • tcp_handshaker 12 minutes ago
      Lets keep your comment out of the VC pitch deck shall we?
  • Johnny_Bonk 55 minutes ago
    For sure made with Claude code for front end, but I’m excited to see where they go
  • ramon156 7 minutes ago
    "Our mission is straightforward" continued by the most complex sentence on that page. Wondering what the definition of straightforward is now
  • melodyogonna 32 minutes ago
    Oh wow, that's a blow to Google, what's with the talent scarcity in ML. Though if this goes anywhere Google will likely buy them back.
    • FailMore 18 minutes ago
      Google down $160Bn so far since the leaving announcements. Those are some valuable people!
      • IAmGraydon 11 minutes ago
        Google is literally at the same stock price it was on Monday. This is a normal daily fluctuation for them.
    • jfrbfbreudh 24 minutes ago
      Google is backing it.
  • syntaxing 18 minutes ago
    This reminds me of Three body problem and how the scientist discovered the high strength wire was through quick physical experiments and use them as input to an AI model to determine if it works.
  • swalsh 11 minutes ago
    By the middle of the 2030's the world we live in will be unrecognizable.
    • kingofthehill98 8 minutes ago
      I agree, for better or for worse.

      If I had to bet my money, it would be on "for worse".

  • deerstalker 17 minutes ago
    National Labs in the US have been doing this for a while now. I feel like the private sector will take the lead soon.
  • flakiness 30 minutes ago
    > we have pioneered massive scale computing and led the creation of critical infrastructure, products, and foundational AI advances that the world relies on, including multiple generations of Google Search, Google Ads, Google News, Google Translate, Google File System, MapReduce, BigTable, Spanner, TensorFlow, Pathways, TPUs, AlphaChip, AlphaStar, AlphaCode, AlphaFold, Gemini, model distillation, mixture-of-experts model architectures, word2vec, sequence-to-sequence models, chain of thought reasoning, neural architecture search, and multiple generations of Large Language Models (LLMs) among others.

    holy shit. I've known this, but...

  • numbers_guy 6 minutes ago
    When they say experiments, do they mean using physics simulators?
  • sidcool 16 minutes ago
    I am available for hire.
  • ChrisArchitect 12 minutes ago
    Related:

    Jeff Dean leaving Alphabet

    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49184746

  • searine 13 minutes ago
    Computation is not the hard part of discovery.
  • yddryhry 10 minutes ago
    you people worship money and money only and cannot see vaporware because of it.
  • 1970-01-01 34 minutes ago
    I'm skeptical of any Engineering loop that doesn't include reality (as in touch grass) feedback. Pure logic and reasoning is the domain of Maths and Science (philosophy). Surely it will work, but it will not "be able to solve any learning loop".
  • mosfets 32 minutes ago
    Is this a joke? Site is not loading for me.
  • bezko 16 minutes ago
    So Ralph Wiggum in a suit?